18 Cup Finals Ahead For City

With 18 league games standing between the Canaries and a potential promotion back to the big time, how do Farke’s men need to go about their business between now and the end of the season?

The usual saying is; “if you average 2 points per game you’ll be promoted”. However, this season looks to be different for once with no team currently hitting that target, with Leeds currently two-points behind, City three-points behind that target, and Sheffield United and West Brom six-points behind. The average championship promotion points total is 92.7 over the past ten years.

Wolves won the title last season with 99-points, which is a mammoth 46-points ahead of City’s current total with only 56 points to play for. Cardiff who finished second ended on 90-points last season, if City is to hit a similar target they would need 37-points between now and the end of the campaign. 12 wins,1 draw and 5 defeats. This season a figure nearer to this would most likely be enough to yet again seal automatic-promotion and possibly even the title.

Current top 6 Games remaining against the top 6

Leeds- Norwich(H), M’Boro (A), West Brom (H), Sheff Utd (H)

Norwich- Sheff Utd(H), Leeds(A), M’Boro (A)

West Brom- M’Boro (H), Sheff Utd (H), Leeds(A), Derby (A)

Sheff Utd- Norwich(A), M’Boro (H), West Brom (A), Leeds (A)

M’Boro- West Brom (A). Leeds (H), Sheff Utd (A), Norwich(H)

Derby- West Brom (H)

The fact City play 2 of the top 6 in their two upcoming games could be massive in strengthening or weakening their credentials ahead of the crunch part of the season. With the small matter of the East Anglian Derby and a return of Paul Lambert to Carrow Road also a massive game upcoming. Playing sides away towards the bottom of the league who will be scrapping for safety may also play into City’s hands based on the away form this season. With City still to visit Bolton, Rotherham, Millwall, and Wigan.

With games against Stoke, Blackburn, and Villa in the run in before the end of the season you would hope City have accumulated enough points to be on the cusp of a potential automatic-promotion by then. Being they are all sides who may well have nothing to play for and pose an awkward task.

This season has more of a feel of the 2007/08 season when West Brom won the title with only 81 points in what was a very competitive season. Will Leeds blip continue with three out of four losses in the past games. Sheffield United look strong, but possibly lack that pace going forward. West Brom has a strong side on paper, but ultimately still haven’t lived up to full expectations. Middlesbrough are currently too inconsistent to challenge fully, and Derby will have hope being that they only have West Brom in the top 6 to play, but they are 7 points behind Norwich in second at this stage.

City, therefore, need to focus on themselves, keep injuries to a minimum and continue playing the same brand of football, and then even if automatic promotion evades them, they have what it takes in the playoffs to beat anyone on their day. And as the song goes; “Never Mind The Danger”.

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